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Double Your Money?! š°š°
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Profit From Smart Homes š§ š ļø
Double Your Money?! š°š°
AI this, AI that. I know. You canāt get away from it. But thatās where the money is so if you like money, then you should love AI.
And youāll definitely love this stock which is flying under the radar. Itās so neglected that if it made a 100% gain itād still be a better value buy than most AI stocks right now.
Let me tell you why Micron Technology could be an easy triple digit gainer. š
High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM3E)
Micronās secret weapon is its HBM3E chip. Itās designed to make AI systems faster & more efficient. Weāre talking 30% improved power efficiency & lightning-fast memory performance. AKA these chips come with a 30% cheaper energy bill & run faster. Thatās why theyāve got a queue out the door for them.
Itās also thumbs up from the environment. šļøš
š¦ Ramp-Up Mode: Shipments of Micronās HBM3E chips are expected to surge in FY 2025
š° The Market Is Huge: Micronās management are predicting the high-bandwidth memory market will grow 6.25X from FY 2023 to FY 2025. Thatād mean the market will be hitting $25B by next year.
š Boosting Margins: Gross margins are already up to 35% in the last quarter (compared to a 3-year average of 15.8%). Pretty good, right? What if I told you theyāre still on the rise?! Theyāre hoping margins can reach 39.5% next quarter. š¤Æ
Just to be clear, this new chip isnāt Micron breaking into a new market. Theyāve been a huge player in the memory space for a while. This is just the cherry on top. š
Micron is the third-largest DRAM producer globally, with a 25% market share. The guys taking 1st & 2nd on the podium are Samsung (40%) & SK Hynix (29%).
Where Micronās Revenue is coming from
69% of its revenue comes from DRAM products, where the HBM3E chip is ready to be let loose. The expectation is Micron should be able to scoop up even more market share thanks to the new tech giving a healthy boost to revenue & margins.
Speaking of margins, letās talk numbers becauseā¦..
Micronās Valuation Is Dirt Cheap
Itās so cheap Iāve had to triple check everything to make sure Iām not missing anything.
Micronās forward PE is sitting at 11x. The sector median is 31x. That means Micron is three times cheaper than the average company in the sector.
Micronās shares could double in value and theyād still be undervalued compared to the industry. If thatās not an incentive to open your wallet & park some cash with Micron I donāt know what itāll take.
Even a push to old highs would leave the hugely undervalued by sector & at a 54% gain
When something is this undervalued vs itās peers it makes me suspicious. But all the fundamentals look great & analysts are expecting earnings growth of 587% in FY 2025.
No I didnāt sneeze & smash numbers on my keyboard. 587% earnings growth!
In a dream world where Micronās forward PE ramps to the sector median, share price should be somewhere around $284. Thatās a 183% gain, nearly triple your money!
Iām not saying thatās going to happen but even if it gets halfway there I wouldnāt be disappointed!
Buybacks
Micron hasnāt just been sitting on the cash itās generated from those hefty margins. Itās been put to work with aggressive stock buy backs.
Over the past few years, Micron has repurchased 63M shares worth $4.4B.
Last quarter alone, theyāve bought back 3.2M shares for $300M.
Reducing share count is always a win if youāre an investor. The good old laws of supply & demand should work in your favour here.
What Could Go Wrong?š
The potential of huge gains doesnāt come at no cost otherwise Iād full port it & be on my way. Hereās some things to keep in mind here.
š¦ HBM3E Shipment Delays: If Micron stumbles on ramping up shipments the growth story might be less romantic than it is on the powerpoints.
š AI Spending Slows: Right now, AI investment is booming. Thereās no guarantees it stays that way. Any slowdown could make a dent in the demand for Micronās chips.
š°ļø Volatile Earnings: Memory markets are notoriously cyclical & Micronās earnings have been all over the place in the past.
Whatās expected from Micron the 18th December
Next earnings is on December 18th 2024 & Iāll be paying close attention to their guidance for FY 2025. If theyāre on target or better yet, beat expectations Iāll be reserving more seats on this rocket to the moon. š
The $100,000 build portfolio already has a very small part in Micron, around 0.4% & at 10% profit. Iām going to look at doubling this position size assuming everything looks good on the 18th.
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Fizzy Drinks & Fat Dividends š„¤
Pepsi or Coke? Iām more of a Pepsi guy & Iām not just saying that for the sake of the segmentā¦.
Theyāve been having a bit of a rough time lately but I think this a great time to add a tried & trusted dividend king to the portfolio.
Itās been a tough six months for PepsiCo
Have a taste of what Iām sipping šļø
Q3 Earningsā¦. A Mixed Snack Pack šæ
PepsiCoās Q3 results were a pick of a pickānāmic. Some sweet stuff, a few sours but a good enough mix to keep everyone happy. Hereās what you missedā¦
Revenue: $23.3 billion (-0.6% YoY) šMissed analyst expectations by $460 million. Why? A sticky combo of 2% volume decline & a strong dollar eating into international sales. On the bright side, they managed to bump prices by 3% to offset the dip in volume.
Core EPS: $2.31 (+2.7% YoY) š„³ Beat analyst expectations by $0.02. Fun fact: Their profit margin expanded to 13.7% which is good to see in a space that runs on tighter margins. Might have something to do with that extra 3%ā¦..
Hereās what we saw on PepsiCoās last outing for earnings
So even with a very slight revenue miss thereās still some positives to take away. And if they can keep those healthier margins as volume picks back up then it sets the foundations for a top notch earnings down the road.
Thereās a reason theyāve been around for so long, I guess.
Dividends That Keep Delivering š¬š°
That brings us on to one of the most appealing thingās about PepsiCo.
Theyāre a consistent powerhouse that you can put your money with & sleep easy at night. The AI stuff is sexy. This is for peace of mind.
The current dividend yield is right around 3.4% & it isnāt going anywhere. Thereās 52 consecutive years of dividend growth to back that up.
PepsiCoās dividend amount has grown consistently over the years
Letās be real. Snacks & soda donāt go out of fashion. Even when cash is tight, people still buy their Doritos & a Pepsi Max to treat themselves. Thatās why PepsiCo is a cash flow king & can reliable generate enough cash to fund growth, pay dividends, & make strategic acquisitions.
PepsiCoās Growth Plays š±
Iām glad you brought up acquisitions. PepsiCoās M&A has been on point.
A $1.2 billion deal for Siete Foods (grain-free, dairy-free Mexican-American foods) is a big brain play.
The press release from PepsiCo.
Siete is one of the fastest-growing Latino food brands in the U.S. The best part? It taps into an area that PepsiCo have left mostly neglected. The booming health-conscious food trend!
This acquisition gives PepsiCo access to new markets without having to build out specialized production facilities.
They also fancy themselves as a bit of a tech company. Who doesnāt these days?
Money is being poured into automating warehouses, manufacturing, & distribution centers. The plan is the upgrades will boost efficiency & drive profits in 2025.
No Free Lunches š
As stellar as their track record is, you always have to look at the worst case scenario. So what is it for PepsiCo?
Well appetite suppressing drugs seem to be the craze right now. People eating less isnāt ideal if youāre in the business of selling snacks & fizzy drinks. I think the chances that this actually becomes a worthwhile worry are very slim.
How often ozempic has been googled over the last 5 years. Itās a growing trend.
And if itās not the drugs doing it, it might be the crowd. People seem generally more health conscious. Again, not ideal but theyāre planning ahead with acquisitions like Siete so I donāt think itās a problem they canāt tackle should it become one.
Another worry is slightly out of their control. A strong dollar & high interest rates arenāt great for global consumer staples. Weāve already seen them squeeze revenues globally so if it keeps it up, it could be more of the same. Seems like more of a storm to weather than a permanent issue.
My PepsiCo Plan š¹
Buy, Buy, Buy. Thatās what Iāll be doing.
Itās trading at pandemic level valuations & from a technical perspective, itās a swing traders dream. Look at how the support level has held up time & time again!
A swing traders dream š
And weāre right at that support price again. šļø
$180 will be my first price target which gives me a 13% gain. Itās pretty a pretty firm resistance point the past few years.
And at this entry price, I might even consider just holding for the long term. Itās a perfect mix of growth & income from dividend royalty. Whatās not to love?! The 3.4% dividend is just the cherry on top.
Profit From Smart Homes š§ š ļø
$10 Million in Revenue, 200% GrowthāMeet the Smart Home Company Thatās Changing the Game
Smart homes are the future, and RYSE is leading the charge in one category being ignored by the competition. With 10 granted patents and products already earning rave reviews on Amazon and Best Buy, RYSE has achieved over $10 million in total revenue and is grew at an astonishing 200% month-over-month.
RYSE make it easy to automate window coverings, helping homeowners upgrade to smart living in minutes. And with partnerships with major retailers like Home Depot, Loweās, and BestBuy, RYSE is rapidly expanding its footprint in a market growing 23% annually.
At just $1.75 per share, you can invest in this game-changing company before their next wave of growth.
What did you think of today's update? |
Thatās all! See you same time next week š
P.S Hit reply & let me know what you thought of this weeks newsletter. All feedback is welcomed ā¤ļø
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