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Stocks of the Week!
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Buy or Bye? šø
Investing in Fine Art š¼ļø
Buy or Bye? šø
Dellās stock has been tanking hard. Iām talking down nearly 30% since May highs.
Itās not been a pretty run for Dell
It definitely raises some questions. Is this one of those āpullbacksā you hear everyone talking about? Should you be buying the dip? Or has the Dell train derailed?
Thereās a lot of rough with Dell but I think thereās a diamond in there somewhere.
Whatās Got Everyone So Spooked? šØ
Dellās recent earnings call was a bag of pickānāmix with a few sours in there. Hereās the bits thatās had investors screwing up their faces
š» PC Biz = Not It: I donāt know about you but when I think of Dell my default is home PCs. Revenue in their consumer PC segment fell 18% YoY. Not great. And the PC upgrade cycle for AI machines? Delayed until 2025. Even less great.
š ļø Supply Chain Blues: Nvidiaās new AI chips (Blackwell series) are taking their sweet time getting to market. That means Dellās growth in AI-optimized servers is also taking itās sweet time.
š Downshifted Guidance: Management basically told investors to take it easy with their short-term expectations. Not the kind of message that leaves you inspired to buy up a piece of the company.
Latest earnings report for Dell was a beat on earnings & a miss on revenue
So, the short terms been rough. The good news? We donāt invest for the short term. And the long-term story looks way more interesting. š
Why I Still Care & You Should too! š
Can you see that hero in the distance? With the cape blowing in the wind? Itās A.I.!
That hero is helping Dellās Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) to grow a projected 25% this quarter. Thatās where the real magic is happening for them. AI servers for enterprise and cloud providers.
This division has made up over 38% of Dells total revenue in fiscal year 2024 so a 25% boost here would be insane.
Theyāve also got competitors who have their hands full right now.
Supermicro (SMCI) is busy curving audit bullets & dodging de-listing which gives Dell a chance to steal market share in the hyperscaler space.
The best part of it all? You can get all this bottled up growth potential at a pretty decent valuation.
The uptrend has held & I think a push up to $150 is on the cards for the near future
Even from a technical view weāre on a solid uptrend & never saw enough sell pressure to break the recent low around $117. As it is, weāre on track to reclaim $150 which would be around a 17.5% gain from current price.
The Plan šŗļø
Yes, Dellās PC segment is a drag right. Yes, supply chain hiccups are annoying. But the AI wave is still coming. That hasnāt changed.
Dell is well-positioned to ride it. Iām treating the drop like buying ex-display on Black Friday. Cheap, a little scuffed, but still solid value.
Itās not a get rich quick play but definitely worth a spot in a healthy portfolio.
Investing in Fine Art š¼ļø
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Every artwork performs differently ā but with 3 illustrative sales (that were held for 1+ year), Masterworks investors realized net annualized returns of 17.6%, 17.8%, and 21.5%.
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Thatās all! See you same time next week š
P.S Hit reply & let me know what you thought of this weeks newsletter. All feedback is welcomed ā¤ļø
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