Buy or Bye? šŸ’ø

PLUS: Investing in Fine Art šŸ–¼ļø

Stocks of the Week!

In this email:

  • Buy or Bye? šŸ’ø

  • Investing in Fine Art šŸ–¼ļø 

Buy or Bye? šŸ’ø

Dellā€™s stock has been tanking hard. Iā€™m talking down nearly 30% since May highs.

Itā€™s not been a pretty run for Dell

It definitely raises some questions. Is this one of those ā€œpullbacksā€ you hear everyone talking about? Should you be buying the dip? Or has the Dell train derailed?

Thereā€™s a lot of rough with Dell but I think thereā€™s a diamond in there somewhere.

Whatā€™s Got Everyone So Spooked? šŸ˜Ø 

Dellā€™s recent earnings call was a bag of pickā€™nā€™mix with a few sours in there. Hereā€™s the bits thatā€™s had investors screwing up their faces

  • šŸ’» PC Biz = Not It: I donā€™t know about you but when I think of Dell my default is home PCs. Revenue in their consumer PC segment fell 18% YoY. Not great. And the PC upgrade cycle for AI machines? Delayed until 2025. Even less great.

  • šŸ› ļø Supply Chain Blues: Nvidiaā€™s new AI chips (Blackwell series) are taking their sweet time getting to market. That means Dellā€™s growth in AI-optimized servers is also taking itā€™s sweet time.

  • šŸ“‰ Downshifted Guidance: Management basically told investors to take it easy with their short-term expectations. Not the kind of message that leaves you inspired to buy up a piece of the company.

Latest earnings report for Dell was a beat on earnings & a miss on revenue

So, the short terms been rough. The good news? We donā€™t invest for the short term. And the long-term story looks way more interesting. šŸ‘€ 

Why I Still Care & You Should too! šŸ’“ 

Can you see that hero in the distance? With the cape blowing in the wind? Itā€™s A.I.!

That hero is helping Dellā€™s Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) to grow a projected 25% this quarter. Thatā€™s where the real magic is happening for them. AI servers for enterprise and cloud providers.

This division has made up over 38% of Dells total revenue in fiscal year 2024 so a 25% boost here would be insane.

Theyā€™ve also got competitors who have their hands full right now.

Supermicro (SMCI) is busy curving audit bullets & dodging de-listing which gives Dell a chance to steal market share in the hyperscaler space.

The best part of it all? You can get all this bottled up growth potential at a pretty decent valuation.

The uptrend has held & I think a push up to $150 is on the cards for the near future

Even from a technical view weā€™re on a solid uptrend & never saw enough sell pressure to break the recent low around $117. As it is, weā€™re on track to reclaim $150 which would be around a 17.5% gain from current price.

The Plan šŸ—ŗļø 

Yes, Dellā€™s PC segment is a drag right. Yes, supply chain hiccups are annoying. But the AI wave is still coming. That hasnā€™t changed.

Dell is well-positioned to ride it. Iā€™m treating the drop like buying ex-display on Black Friday. Cheap, a little scuffed, but still solid value.

Itā€™s not a get rich quick play but definitely worth a spot in a healthy portfolio.

Investing in Fine Art šŸ–¼ļø

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Every artwork performs differently ā€” but with 3 illustrative sales (that were held for 1+ year), Masterworks investors realized net annualized returns of 17.6%, 17.8%, and 21.5%.

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Thatā€™s all! See you same time next week šŸ‘‹ 

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